After another impressive win last weekend by Justin Thomas (his fourth on the season) the top 70 ranked golfers find themselves in the field this week as the push continues to the Tour Championship next weekend. It should be noted that there will be no cut this weekend however only the top 30 points leaders in the FedEx race will be able to participate in the final event of the season and contend for the mega millions cash prize.
Favorites to Win the BMW Championship from Bet365 Sportsbook
Jordan Spieth (7.00): Spieth comes in as this week’s outright favourite after and looking for his first win of the playoffs. The fact that Jordan has finished in 2nd place in consecutive week’s to Justin Thomas and Dustin Johnson leads to the speculation that this may be the week the fiery 24-year old wins his fourth tournament on the season. Spieth has already made 10 top ten finishes and is a force virtually every tournament he plays in.
Dustin Johnson (8.00): Much like Spieth before him, Dustin Johnson has the ability to win regardless of the course, yardage or conditions. World number one kicked off the playoffs with a win at the Northern Trust over Jordan on the first hole of the playoffs by bombing a drive on the first tee to within a wedge of the victory. He did so with ease and confidence and appeared to have the same type of fortune last week at the Dell Technologies before dropping a 73 on his final round. DJ has three wins on the season and if he has his putter working, he’s going to win. Simple as that.
Justin Thomas (12.00): Thomas is probably the hottest player on tour right now. Fresh off his first ever major at the of a championship the 24 year old pulled out an impressive victory last week at the Dell Technologies with a score of 17 below par, meaning his last three tournaments saw two victories sandwiching a T6 finish at the Northern Trust. The win last week was huge for Thomas who now sits second in FedEx standings trailing Jordan Spieth by just 27 points. At 12-1 there’s some serious value on this pick given how well he’s playing.
Jon Rahm (13.00): Jon Rahm comes in at 13-1 odds to win the BMW this week and has been playing lights out since the playoffs started. The Spaniard started the first round of the playoffs with a T3 finish at the Northern Trust and then followed it up with a very nice T4 finish at the Dell Technologies. Now he’ll look to improve on his fifth place standings in FedEx points, and with a victory this week will surge up the list, likely into third place. Rahm has made 17/19 cuts this year with two victories and 10 top ten finishes.
Rickie Fowler (13.00): The golf world continues to wait for Rickie Fowler to break through and win a tournament of significance. Perhaps this week will be the coming out party for Rickie who at age 28, is on the verge of becoming the next ‘Sergio Garcia’ in terms of the stigma of not being able to win a major, or in this case, a playoff event. Fowler has been consistent this year making 18 of 20 cuts with ten top-10 finishes and a win under his belt. For Fowler it’s simple, the skillset is sharp, his short game and putting is among the best on tour, but he has to believe that he can win. Look for Rickie to make some noise this week come the weekend.
Hideki Matsuyama (15.00): Matsuyama will look to get back on track this week at the BMW Championship as he searches for win number four on the season. The missed cut at the Northern Trust was only his second missed cut out of 18 events this year and the Japanese phenom rebounded with a T23 finish last week at Dell Technologies, but will look to regain his fine form from just a few weeks ago when he won the WGC Bridgestone Invitational last month. The fact that Matsuyama is still just 25 years old hasn’t stopped the expectations from many golf pundits that he is underperforming which seems a bit harsh. Look for Matsy to contend this weekend as he currently sits fourth in FedEx points standings.
Paul Casey (21.00): At 21-1 odds Paul Casey should hardly be considered a long shot but the fact that there’s seven golfers ahead of him on the futures market this week makes the Englishman a bit of a value play. Casey has been very strong this season making 17/18 cuts with six top 10 finishes, however he has yet to win on tour this season. Casey is peaking at just the right time with a T4 finish last week after a fifth place finish at Northern Trust. Casey has now been inside the top 15 in each of his last six outings and he could very well notch his first win this week in Illinois.
Brooks Koepka (26.00): Another strong value play here with Koepka coming in at a whopping 26-1 odds to win this week. Brooks has won his first major this year at the US Open and followed it up with an impressive T6 at the British Open. Since the Open Championship he’s made four straight cuts including three top 20’s but has failed to crack the top 10. At odds this juicy it’s hard to pass up on Brooksy as he may be in line for another big finish.